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Is Nuclear Power Really a Trump Card Against Global Warming?

fukushima-meltdown-kindleby TAKASHI HIROSE
In recent years there seemed to be a nuclear power renaissance. One reason for this has been the adoption by its promoters of the theme of global warming, and their claim that nuclear power is clean energy because it does not produce carbon emissions.  But is nuclear power in fact the clean-energy solution its promoters claim?

Only one third of the heat energy produced in a nuclear reactor is transformed into electricity.  In Japan, the remaining two thirds of the energy that remains in the water vapor– that is, twice as much energy as contained in the generated electricity – is disposed of in the sea.  In the cooling system, seawater is used to cool the water vapor, which condenses again to water and is circulated through the reactor once again.  This heated seawater is called “thermal discharge”.  How much heat does this thermal discharge carry into the sea?  The amount is startling.

Before the Fukushima accident, that is, at the end of 2010, Japan’s 54 nuclear reactors were producing a total of 49,112,000 kilowatts of electricity.  So every day they were throwing away twice that much, approximately 100,000,000 kilowatts of energy, in the form of heat, into the sea.

This means that every day they were pumping into the sea energy equivalent to 100 of the atomic bombs dropped on Hiroshima. The Hiroshima bomb destroyed the city in an instant and ended the lives of some 140,000 people, but when energy 100 times that great is “dropped” into the sea daily, what effect does that have?  That it would not be destructive of the ocean’s ecology is unimaginable.  Before saying that “nuclear power plants supply one third of the demand for electricity”, it needs to be said that “twice as much energy as the electricity they produce is used to heat up the sea.”

I want to ask, what kind of global warming debate is it that never discusses this fact?

In Japan, the number one global warming agent is the nuclear power plants.

After I left the company I was working for, I spent a long time translating medical books.  In the 1970s I was translating books depicting the suffering of people whose health was damaged by environmental pollution, and at the same time through an agent was accepting work from industry.  At that time I received a request from

TEPCO to translate a 1970s report from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).  In it was the following passage.

“When thermal discharge from nuclear power plants is released into the sea, the heat does not immediately disperse.  Rather it concentrates and remains suspended in what are called “hot spots”.  For this reason it has a very large effect on sea life near the shore.  In the shallows, even a difference of two or three degrees can kill fish eggs or young fish.”

I translated this English correctly and delivered the manuscript to TEPCO.  The report of which it was a part was apparently suppressed within the company.  To this day it has never appeared.

Moreover, the claim that nuclear power is a cheap form of energy is also untrue.  Nuclear power plants are located far from the users of the electricity, so they require extraordinarily long transmission systems (In 1964 the Japanese Atomic Energy Commission (JAEC) stipulated that “Dangerous nuclear power plants must not be located in heavily populated areas”).  The nuclear power plants that deliver electricity  to the capital are the Fukushima Daiichi and Daini reactors, Niigata Prefecture’s Kashiwazaki-Kariwa reactor, and Ibaragi Prefecture’s Tokai Daini reactor.   The 14 nuclear power plants sending electricity to the Kansai (Kyoto, Osaka, Kobe) area are lined up along the faraway shore of the Japan Sea at Wakasa Bay, in Fukui Prefecture. When you take into account the transmission systems connecting the power plants with the metropolitan areas they serve, you cannot call it an inexpensive source of electricity.

Without Nuclear Power, Will There Be Blackouts?

After the Fukushima Daiichi accident, TEPCO carried out planned blackouts, and the Kan Naoto administration, “in order to avoid a major blackout due to electricity shortages in the summer months” is considering enacting measures enforcing limits on electricity consumption for the first time since the oil shock of 1974. This deep-seated “blackout fear” held by so many seems to be grounded in the idea that we must continue gingerly to maintain the nuclear power industry, which advertises itself as providing one-third of the country’s electricity. What I see in the opinion polls is the attitude, I don’t like living with nuclear power plants, but without them there is no way to get the electricity, so there’s nothing to be done because like they say, you can’t exchange your back for your belly.

This is a huge misunderstanding that must be corrected.

A survey by year of the generating capacity of Japan’s main sources of electrical power compared with the total amount of electricity demand tells a different story.  In no year has the peak demand for electricity – that is, the demand for electricity in the hours between 2 and 3pm on the hottest days of summer – exceeded what could be provided by the combination of fossil fuel and water powered generators.   Moreover, the highest recorded peak demand was in 2001, and has never been surpassed in the ten years since then.  Rather, with the economic downturn, demand for electricity fell in 2008 and 2009.

From whence, then, comes the misunderstanding that nuclear power plants supply one third of the country’s electricity, and that without them there would be blackouts?.  The answer sounds like a joke, but it is true: it is that while Japan has a very large capability for generating electricity from natural gas, these facilities have been intentionally kept operating at only 50-60 per cent of capacity.  Among the major sources of electricity used in the advanced countries, natural gas is the cleanest.  Then there are the petroleum powered plants; amazingly they are operating at only 10 to 20 per cent of their capacity.  (This figure may sound unbelievable, but since the 1970s Oil Shock, most of the developed countries have a policy of reducing oil consumption as far as possible.  Japan’s fossil fuel power plants use mainly coal and natural gas.) The idea that without nuclear power there would be blackouts is nonsense.

The reason TEPCO carried out intentional blackouts after the earthquake is that the fossil fuel reactors in the region also suffered temporary damage. No doubt there was also difficulty delivering fuel.  But repairing fossil fuel power plants is nowhere near as difficult at repairing nuclear power plants.  It’s just a matter of replacing damaged parts.  Once repair work begins, it doesn’t take long before the plant is operating again.  And once the fossil fuel plants are back on line, electricity demand is no problem.

After its nuclear plants were so badly damaged, TEPCO should have put its natural gas and petroleum plants into full operation, but it did not.  Rather it carried out intentional blackouts, bringing confusion to the metropolitan area and bringing losses both to industry and to private citizens.  In this it did not fulfill its responsibility as an electricity provider, and revealed a fundamental problem.  And now we hear  everywhere language fanning the fear of summertime blackouts, but this is only a false  rumor being spread by people who know nothing of electrical power generation. (Translators note: in fact in the summer since this was written, there were no electrical blackouts in Japan.)

A natural gas power plant can be built in a few months.  This was made clear in an article appearing the April 6, 2011 edition of Gasu Energii Shinbun (Gas Energy News) by Ishii Akira, head of the Energy and Environment Research Center, titled “After Fukushima, the Age of Natural Gas”.  In this article, Ishii explains Japan’s energy situation from the standpoint of a professional.  The Fukushima nuclear power plant accident took place on March 11.  Why didn’t TEPCO begin immediately to take action to ensure that there would be no electrical shortage?  If they couldn’t get it done in time, why did they not immediately ask the world’s largest manufacturer of natural gas power plants, America’s General Electric (GE) to do it for them?  An electric company that can’t supply electricity to the public has no right to be called an electric company.

Nuclear power supporters will argue that the supply of natural gas is limited.  But this too is the outdated opinion of one who does not know the energy industry.  As Ishii Akira pointed out in an article of Feb 2, 2011 in Gas Energy News, new sources of natural gas are being discovered one after another all over the world.  In the Mediterranean Sea, offshore from Madagascar, under the sea to the east of India, on the continental shelf in northwestern Australia, in Brazil, in Turkmenistan – in the ten years up to 2009 the world’s known supply of underground deposits has increased by close to 30 per cent.  In addition to this natural gas supply, new, so-called non-traditional gases such as coal bed methane, tight sand gas, shale gas, and methane hydrate are being developed one after another.  According to Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation (which is dedicated to locating natural resources for Japan) the underground reserves of these new forms of natural gas total more than 922 trillion cubic meters, more than five times the reserves of traditional natural gas. No doubt there will be future discoveries one after another, so I would say that we have enough gas reserves alone to last well over 200 years.

Translated by Douglas Lummis, ideaspeddler@gmail.com

Takashi Hirose can be contacted at takhi@jcom.home.ne.jp

This is excerpted from the concluding chapter of Takashi Hirose
Fukushima Meltdown: The World’s First Earthquake-Tsunami-Nuclear Disaster now available in English from Amazon Kindle Books.

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Strong global opposition towards nuclear power

Ipsos Global @dvisor, 23 June 2011 [Fieldwork May 6 - 21, 2011]

New research by Ipsos MORI shows that three in five global citizens (62%) oppose the use of nuclear energy – a quarter (26%) of those have been influenced by the recent nuclear disaster in Fukushima, Japan.

The latest Ipsos Global @dvisor survey shows that support for nuclear energy is far below that for solar power (97%), wind power (93%), hydroelectric power (91%) and natural gas (80%) as a source of electricity.

Just one in four (38%) adults across 24 countries support the use of nuclear energy. Support is highest in India (61%), Poland (57%) and the United States (52%).

Britons are split on the issue with half supporting (48%) and half opposing (51%) the use of nuclear energy. One in five (20%) Britons that are against the use of nuclear energy say they their opinion has been influenced by the events in Fukushima.

Managing Director of the Ipsos MORI Reputation Centre, Milorad Ajder, said:

“Nuclear energy is a controversial issue at the best of times and the disaster in Fukushima has clearly had a negative impact on the way people see its use. With mounting global opposition, some countries are already decided to scale back its use, with some abandoning it all together.”
Download the full presentation slides
Technical Note

This survey was conducted in 24 countries including Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America. An international sample of 18,787 adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and age 16-64 in all other countries, were interviewed between May 6 and May 21, 2011 via the Ipsos Online Panel system.

Approximately 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis with the exception of Argentina, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Sweden, Russia and Turkey, where each have a sample 500+. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample’s composition reflected that of the adult population according to the most recent country Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe.

A survey with an unweighted probability sample of this size and a 100% response rate would have an estimated margin of error of +/-3.1 percentage points for a sample of 1,000 and an estimated margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points for a sample of 500 19 times out of 20 per country of what the results would have been had the entire population of the specifically aged adults in that country been polled.

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Scandalous SA Nuclear Industry rides on Fukushima Events to Promote Nuclear Energy

The Nuclear Industry, particularly the South African sector have been using the terrible events of Fukushima in Japan as a vehicle to actually promote nuclear energy even more than before. Any normal person with half a brain cell can ask the question, did they even see what happened in Japan?

A nuclear forum is being held in South Africa on the 19th of May 2011 at Emperor’s Palace, Johannesburg, aimed at once again promoting nuclear energy in South Africa. As always these “forums” are not for free and are designed that way in order to keep out NGO’s and community driven organisations who simply do not have the funds to attend them. To give you an idea the cost of attending is R2850.00 per person which most NGO’s will not be able to afford, simple as that.

What happens with all these events is that 99% of the attendees are already pro nuclear so one wonders what’s the fricking point??

If the nuclear industry really wants to enter into debate with the South African public WHICH THEY DO NOT, they would make attendance for NGO’s and community driven organisations FREE but they DO NOT want to debate anything. They have an agenda and they will stick with it no matter what. In 5 years we have never been able to get anyone inside the highly secretive South African Nuclear Industry to debate anything, they cannot even answer the simplest of questions posed to them.

What is most annoying is an email promoting this event which was circulated by the company managing the event, namely Siyenza Managament (Pty) Ltd. In this email the author one Mabel Modipa spits out the biggest bunch of bogus unscientific garbage we’ve seen yet.

The email reads as follows:

Africa Needs Nuclear Power

In the wake of the Fukushima nuclear power plant incident, resulting from the recent massive Japanese earthquake and tsunami, and following the anniversary of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident in the former Soviet Union, there has been much public debate internationally concerning nuclear power.

Much of the information projected to the public is misguided and inaccurate which leads to a public fear which in turn affects the formulation of government policy internationally. This in turn affects the costs of construction of nuclear power stations because, at times, unrealistic requirements are put in place, which then tend to drive costs up.  The mystique surrounding the subject of nuclear power tends to confuse matters further, in the public mind.  A confused public cannot make informed energy decisions relating to nuclear power.

In Fukushima province the first person to die as a result of the Fukushima nuclear incident has just been reported.  He was a 64 year old farmer from Sukagama, 65km from the reactor.  He hanged himself because the authorities would not let him sell his produce.  To receive any meaningful radiation dose from his spinage a person would have to eat many tons of it, which would be impossible.  It is sad that misguided policy caused his death.

Issues of nuclear construction costs and public perceptions of nuclear power will be discussed at the forthcoming nuclear power conference; Nuclear Forum 3, on 19 May 2011 at Emperor’s Palace, Johannesburg.

The conference will be opened by the Minister of Energy, The Hon Dipuo Peters.

A lot of debate around the use of nuclear as an alternate energy source has been debated this week at the Africa World Economic Forum in Cape Town.  South Africa will be taking the lead in Africa, with the proposed implementation of nuclear as a reliable source of power for the country.  This will no doubt raise the nuclear debate in the rest of the African continent.

ENDS
5 May 2011
Issued by: Siyenza Management
+27 11 463 9184

Mike Kantey, the chairperson of the National Coalition Against Nuclear Energy duly responded to Miss Modipa with the following response.

Dear Mabel

As the National Chairperson of the Coalition Against Nuclear Energy (see www.cane.org.za) and on behalf of the African Uranium Alliance, I take the strongest objection to the unscientific and emotional language employed in your press release appended below.

If this is the quality of business “intelligence” that is sold at high expense to political, investment, and business leaders in Africa, may Heaven help us over the next century.

Not only does the recently Integrated Resource Plan (IRP2010) for South Africa make it abundantly clear at Table 18 on page 43 that a non-nuclear future is perfectly and affordably obtainable, but the respected International Atomic Energy Agency (the IAEA) declared the Fukushima Dai-ichi accident at its highest level of INES-7, equivalent to the worst accident ever at Chernobyl.

To trivialise and minimise this horrendous accident as your misguided “press release” appears to do makes a mockery of those Japanese citizens within a 20-km radius who have been forced to evacuate their lands and their homes, probably forever, and the risk to all those who are forced to consume foodstuffs and liquids with traces of Strontium-90 and Cesium-137. Unlike your ill-informed and disgraceful mockery of an old man’s death by suicide (an understandable response in Japanese society), as well as your simple ignorance of the basic rules of English spelling (“spinach” not “spinage”, which is what you appear to be practising), the smallest, micro-quantity of Cesium-137 or Strontium-90 will be sufficient to trigger a cancer or genetic defect, once it has been inhaled or swallowed.

I trust that your conference will not be another exercise in pulling radioactive wool over your monied classes, but an honest assessment of what really is in the best interests of the African masses.

Sincerely

Mike Kantey
National Chairperson
Coalition Against Nuclear Energy
www.cane.org.za

Source: http://www.environment.co.za

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Jack Layton on nuclear power in Canada

Background:

Canadians go to the polls on Monday May 2 to elect new representatives
for the House of Commons, Canada’s elected Parliament

Jack Layton is the leader of the New Democratic Party (NDP), which has
received a very dramatic surge in popular support in recent days, a surge
which is mainly felt in the province of Quebec but which is also being
noticed across Canada.

Here is a brief statement from Mr. Layton on the subject of nuclear power.

Gordon Edwards.

http://www.cleanairalliance.org/files/active/0/NDP response.pdf

April 8, 2011

Mr. Jack Gibbons
Chair, Ontario Clean Air Alliance
Suite 402 -625 Church Street
Toronto, ON M4Y 2G1

Dear Mr. Gibbons,

Thank you for your letter of March 29, 2011 asking about New Democrat’s position
on subsidizing the construction of new nuclear reactors in Ontario.

Jack Layton and New Democrats advocate ending public subsidies for nuclear energy
industry. New Democrats believe in halting nuclear expansion and upgrading the safety
and security of current nuclear energy and waste management facilities. We believe in
promoting clean, renewable energy to mitigate the negative effect of non-renewable
energy such as fossil fuel.

The Canadian Nuclear Industry regularly describes itself as a mature industry,
particularly concerning government regulation. As a mature industry it should be able
to operate without major subsidies from government.

It was for this reason that Canada’s New Democrats opposed the minor increase to
Canada’s Nuclear Liability Act the Harper Conservatives have tried several times to
drive through the House of Commons. It is our position that these legislated maximum
liability levels are a hidden subsidy for this industry. New Democrats feel the industry
must either accept at a minimum a liability level of $10 billion dollars rather than the few
hundred million the Harper Conservatives have in mind.

While there may be a need for government support of nuclear research New Democrats
does not see the need for government subsidies of a mature industry just as we oppose
subsidies for the tar sand. As it stands, Canadians would be better off investing in clean
energy technologies rather than nuclear considering the major risks associated with this
technology.

Sincerely,

Jack Layton, Leader
Canada’s New Democrats

http://www.cleanairalliance.org/files/active/0/NDP response.pdf

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Nuclear plants must not turn into radiological weapons

by Fumihiko Yoshida, The Asahi Shimbun, April 28 2011
Source: http://www.asahi.com/english/TKY201104270183.html

As a hibakusha survivor of the 1945 atomic bombing of Hiroshima,
Keijiro Matsushima, 82, has been speaking publicly about his personal
experience in English for foreign audiences. Soon after the accident at
Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant triggered by the March 11 massive
earthquake and tsunami, he was asked to give an interview with the U.S.
cable TV news channel CNN.

While reports of radioactive leaks were making headlines, he thought
how best to describe what was happening and what went through his
mind.

Atomic bombs release intense heat and blasts in addition to radiation.
Their destructive power is incomparably greater than nuclear power plant
accidents, which do not lead to nuclear explosions. People who
underwent atomic bombings may see the Fukushima accident differently,
depending on their experiences.

After much thought, Matsushima made up his mind to speak frankly without
hesitation about how he felt.

“It’s like the third atomic bomb attack on Japan. But this time, we made it
ourselves,” he told CNN.

It is true the accident was triggered by a mega-earthquake. But even though Japan
experienced atomic bombs, didn’t it underestimate the horror of nuclear energy
once it got out of control? Every time Matsushima heard news about the accident,
he could not help asking himself this.

The accident evoked images of nuclear weapons in Matsushima. But he is not the
only one.

Actually, in the past, a nuclear accident prompted the leader of a major power to
take steps toward nuclear disarmament. It is Mikhail Gorbachev, who was the
Soviet Union leader at the time of the 1986 Chernobyl nuclear power plant disaster.

Faced with the accident, Gorbachev felt he experienced virtual nuclear warfare. In
terms of levels of radioactivity, an explosion of even the smallest nuclear warhead
is equivalent to three Chernobyl-class accidents, he said in a speech. Even if a very
small part of accumulated nuclear warheads explode, it would lead to a catastrophe,
he said, expressing his determination to put an end to a nuclear arms race. Twenty
months after the accident, the Soviet Union and the United States signed a treaty to
cut down on nuclear warheads in their possessions for the first time ever.

What about the Fukushima accident? How will it influence the nuclear issues?

Many U.S. experts share the view that the accident caused their wariness against
terrorism targeting nuclear power plants to grow stronger. It is a nightmarish scenario
that combines “9.11″ and “3.11.”

For example, Allison Macfarlane, associate professor of environmental science and
policy at George Mason University, has concerns about the vulnerability of spent fuel
pools. The Fukushima accident made it clear in everyone’s eyes that the loss of
cooling water at pools can result in a radioactive leak crisis.

“If pools were damaged by a terrorist attack and water was lost, the scenario would
be the same as what occurred at the Fukushima plant,” said Macfarlane, who is also
a member of the Blue Ribbon Commission, a U.S. government advisory panel on
nuclear waste.

Charles Ferguson, president of the Federation of American Scientists, points out the
risk of cyber terrorism to nuclear power plants. Having served as a consultant with
the National Nuclear Security Administration and National Laboratories, he worries
about a possible cyber attack that could instantly kill a regional grid that provides
electricity to nuclear power plants and on-site backup electrical systems, resulting in
a Fukushima-type disaster. He is planning to form an experts group to study how to
prevent such cyber terrorism.

National defense concerns have also surfaced. Let us presume one country has
numbers of nuclear power plants in operation. If those plants were attacked by
conventional missiles and their huge inventories of radioactive materials were
released into the atmosphere, society in the targeted country would be in turmoil.
Princeton University professor Frank von Hippel believes that the Fukushima
accident impressed on security policymakers the potential threat of attack on
nuclear power plants.

Several days after the crisis began on March 11, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu said that the expanding threat of a nuclear catastrophe in Japan had
changed his thinking on the safety of nuclear power.

“It certainly caused me to reconsider the projects of building civil nuclear power
plants” in Israel, he said. Von Hippel’s interpretation of this comment is that c
onsidering the instability in the Middle East today, Netanyahu’s new position reflects,
at least to some extent, security concerns about the potential use of nuclear power
plants as “radioactive bombs” if they are targeted for attack.

Be that as it may, the growing concern about the danger of nuclear power plants
has its upside. Why not make the most of the situation to prevent nuclear
proliferation? Such views were exchanged at an international conference of
experts on the nuclear issues recently held in Washington.

Newly emerging and developing countries are accelerating moves to introduce and
expand nuclear power generation in recent years. Naturally, there is growing interest
toward ensuring safety of nuclear power plants. At the same time, nations share
anxieties about the current situation where more countries are turning to nuclear
energy for power under the existing framework of nuclear nonproliferation, which is
starting to develop rifts.

If so, why not slow down the expansion of nuclear power use by intensifying debate
on safety and strengthen the nuclear nonproliferation system in the meantime, a
German researcher suggested.

How many times did I hear the name Fukushima mentioned outside Japan? Japan
has added a negative legacy to its name as Fukushima became as common a word
as Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

As the only nation that underwent atomic bombings and radioactive pollution caused
by a nuclear power plant, how should Japan face nuclear energy? This is a question
it must squarely address itself.

While calling for peace, safety and security, can we coexist with nuclear energy? If we
can, what conditions must be met? Is the goal achievable with the power we now
possess?

Unexpected situations could happen and we must not simply dismiss them as “outside
the scope of assumptions.” This lesson from the Fukushima accident weighs extremely
heavily in this age of nuclear weapons and energy.

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